Institute for the Study of War's November 2, 2026 Assessment on the War in Ukraine

The Institute for the Study of War's latest assessment on the war in Ukraine, dated November 2, 2026, highlights Russia's intensified cognitive warfare efforts, targeting of critical infrastructure in Ukraine, and the ongoing drone warfare between the two nations. It also notes the involvement of Chinese forces in learning advanced drone tactics from Russia.

Key facts

• Russian President Vladimir Putin is intensifying cognitive warfare efforts to frame European leaders as aggressors.
• Russian claims of significant frontline gains in September 2026 are described as delusional.
• Russian forces are teaching Chinese elements advanced drone and counter-drone integration during Center-2026 exercises.
• Russian forces have been targeting the Southern Bridge in Kyiv City with drone strikes to disrupt life in the capital.
• Ukrainian officials confirm Russia's intent to target civilian and critical infrastructure during its Winter 2026-2027 strike campaign.
• The Russian jet-powered Geran drone advantage is expected to last until Ukrainian forces increase interceptor drone production.

Sources

• Kyiv Post